Talk:Gambler's fallacy

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(I've put it back)
 
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I question the validity of the earthquake example as a gambler's fallacy. Earthquakes aren't independent events like the coin toss and may depend on the release of pressure due to earthquakes in the past. If, for some reason, that stress has grown to a greater level than normal (because it wasn't being released), it might be safe to assume the release of the greater pressure would result in a more forceful earthquake. - Reklawrnnr
 
I question the validity of the earthquake example as a gambler's fallacy. Earthquakes aren't independent events like the coin toss and may depend on the release of pressure due to earthquakes in the past. If, for some reason, that stress has grown to a greater level than normal (because it wasn't being released), it might be safe to assume the release of the greater pressure would result in a more forceful earthquake. - Reklawrnnr
 
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: Agreed and removed [[User:Quantheory|quantheory]] 23:57, 25 August 2010 (CDT)
Agreed and removed [[User:Quantheory|quantheory]] 23:57, 25 August 2010 (CDT)
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:: I've put it back as an example of reasoning that's ''not'' based on the GF. (And I just noticed I misattributed, in my edit summary, the talk page text I partially based my wording on to Quantheory instead of Reklawrnnr. Sorry.) - [[User:Dcljr|dcljr]] 09:16, 22 October 2010 (CDT)

Latest revision as of 08:16, 22 October 2010

I question the validity of the earthquake example as a gambler's fallacy. Earthquakes aren't independent events like the coin toss and may depend on the release of pressure due to earthquakes in the past. If, for some reason, that stress has grown to a greater level than normal (because it wasn't being released), it might be safe to assume the release of the greater pressure would result in a more forceful earthquake. - Reklawrnnr

Agreed and removed quantheory 23:57, 25 August 2010 (CDT)
I've put it back as an example of reasoning that's not based on the GF. (And I just noticed I misattributed, in my edit summary, the talk page text I partially based my wording on to Quantheory instead of Reklawrnnr. Sorry.) - dcljr 09:16, 22 October 2010 (CDT)
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