# Probability

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− | + | '''Probability''' is a concept that is generally easy to understand intuitively, but can be difficult to define rigorously. When it ''is'' defined and studied carefully, it can lead to counter-intuitive results. Even elementary ideas of probability can be widely misunderstood, making it a good way to dishonestly bolster a weak argument. | |

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+ | When properly used, probability and its more "applied" cousin, [[statistics]], can be powerful tools for discerning [[empirical]] [[truth]]. Indeed, essentially every field of modern [[science]] relies heavily on statistical analysis of data, which in turn relies on probability. | ||

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+ | In the area of [[apologetics]], ideas of probability lie at the heart of some [[:Category:arguments for the existence of God|arguments for the existence of God]], especially the [[tornado argument]] and, to varying degrees, various [[:Category:cosmological arguments|cosmological arguments]]. | ||

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## Revision as of 01:33, 13 November 2006

**Probability** is a concept that is generally easy to understand intuitively, but can be difficult to define rigorously. When it *is* defined and studied carefully, it can lead to counter-intuitive results. Even elementary ideas of probability can be widely misunderstood, making it a good way to dishonestly bolster a weak argument.

When properly used, probability and its more "applied" cousin, statistics, can be powerful tools for discerning empirical truth. Indeed, essentially every field of modern science relies heavily on statistical analysis of data, which in turn relies on probability.

In the area of apologetics, ideas of probability lie at the heart of some arguments for the existence of God, especially the tornado argument and, to varying degrees, various cosmological arguments.