Argument from providence
Apologists argue that the in the course of history, there is evidence of God's interventions. This is known as the argument from providence or the argument from the upward curve of history. Events are supposedly guided by an invisible hand. Based on the view that humans are selfish or limited, they could not themselves achieved all that has been done. Therefore, there must be another explanation i.e. God.
- "God’s working can be seen in history, through the working of Scripture, and through the working of individuals. God’s existence is the only possible explanation of these occurrences. "
- "[The majority opinion] asserts that there is a design, purpose, or pattern in history. This viewpoint has its origins in the religious traditions of the West--in Judaism, Christianity, and Islam--but primarily in the Bible itself. Religious beliefs have concluded that history is an unfolding of God's plan for the world. Therefore it has purpose. St. Augustine elaborated this thesis in the 5th century, and in the 17th century the French theologian Jacques-Benigne Bossuet carried the idea further in his 'Discourse on Universal History' (1681). The rise and fall of empires depend, in Bossuet's thought, on the secret designs of Providence. "
- "Let us frankly own, then, that unless something Divine circulates in history, there is no history. "
"[God] marked out their appointed times in history and the boundaries of their lands. God did this so that they would seek him and perhaps reach out for him and find him, though he is not far from any one of us."
- "On the face of it, Islam's ability to avoid this fate [of internal conflict] is astonishing, and demands careful analysis. "
Possible divine intervention in history
- Establishment of Christianity 
- Survival of Israel and the Jews
- Social and political progress is made 
- "In 23 Years, Muslims Went from Being Powerless to Control the World" 
- My holy book/religion has remained unchanged.
- My religion has survived persecution
Argument from ignorance
Apologists have not ruled out other possibilities that might explain the alleged pattern. It is therefore an argument from ignorance.
- Main Article: Which God?
The argument supports no specific religion or God.
Arguments that refer to Israel or the Jews might suggest the Abrahamic God. However, we cannot rule out polytheism or other Gods being involved.
Weak evidence that history is guided by providence
There is little or no evidence that history is guided by providence or it has an ultimate purpose. Chance events happen occasionally and sometimes this coincidences are misinterpreted by humans as meaningful, due to cognitive bias. There is nothing that actually requires explanation.
Social progress is a controversial idea because there is no agreed common standard by which to measure progress. Usually, people use their cultural context or political view point to form a narrative that attempts to explain their current situation. Sometimes, the concept of providence is used in this subjective narrative but it does not automatically make it a reality. Progress and purpose are generally human inventions and there is little reason to think the universe or history is governed by this principles.
Human explanation of progress
If we assume civilization is progressing, humans have traits that explain how this may occur. For instance, we have culture and language which allows past lessons and common practices to be passed through generations.
- "And so humankind has slowly reasoned its way toward a broader and more sophisticated understanding of morality, and more effective institutions for keeping peace. We make moral progress as we do scientific progress, through reasoning, experimentation, and the rejection of failed alternatives. "
Since we already have a plausible explanation, it is unnecessary to resort to God as an explanation.